Oct 23, 2024
Flip Pidot, founder of American Civics Exchange, joins the podcast to discuss trends in polling and prediction markets and why these are increasingly pointing to victory for Donald Trump -- and a Republican sweep of Congress.
This podcast episode was recorded on Oct. 22, 2024, and
made available for premium subscribers that same day -- without ads
or announcements. More information on premium membership options is
available on our Substack page.
Content Highlights
- What started as a toss-up has quickly moved to resounding victory for Trump (1:38);
- About $40 million-worth of pro-Trump bets have flooded prediction markets in recent weeks (4:55);
- Early vote data is also clearly favoring Trump (12:58);
- Background on the guest (23:05);
- If the outcome of the election is close, either side is likely to immediately challenge the results in court (34:30);
- Fortunately, the guest views the likelihood as remote (40:28)
More From the Guest
- Website: AmCiv.com;
- X: @FlipPidot;
- Prediction/polling aggregator: TheSupermodel.com.